Report: Israel Preparing to Strike Iran Without U.S. Consent; Tehran convinced military attack is impending
"Israel is drawing up plans to attack Iran's nuclear facilities and is prepared to launch a strike without backing from the U.S., an Israeli newspaper reported Thursday." Fox News
"DEBKAfile's Iranian sources report that the exercise is part of Tehran's preparations for a US and/or Israeli attack on its nuclear installations and Revolutionary Guards bases which its political, military and intelligence strategists are convinced is on the way ahead of Barak Obama's January 21 inauguration as US president." Debkafile
A flashback to an earlier Debkafile excerpt reveals the likely Iranian counterattack if Israel were to attack their nuclear facilities:
Israel has already displayed its ability to strike a nuclear site in the attack on the Syrian-North Korean plutonium reactor in northern Syria on September 6, 2007.
But these military sources argue it would be sheer recklessness for Israel to send so large a part of its air fleet for a repeat of the Israeli attack on Iran without first demolishing Iranís air defenses.
In the attack on Syria, Israel was able to disarm by electronic means the Russian-made air defense batteries guarding its reactor. The same systems protect Iranís nuclear sites. It must be assumed, however, that Iran and the Russian manufacturers learned a lesson or two from the way Israel silenced the batteries in Syria, although Israel too will have added new gadgetry too.
Those Western military sources also deduced from the Israeli aerial exercise eastern Mediterranean that its war planners must have taken stock of the punishing fallout a war operation against Iran would trigger.
Therefore, rather than consigning a large air fleet to Iranians skies, Israelís war planners are likely to first use large numbers of missiles to demolish Iranís nuclear facilities and air defense batteries. Some may be delivered by air from a distance outside the range of Iranian fighter craft (most of which are outdated and in bad shape), others from Dolphin submarines.
The Air Force will go into action at a later stage.
They calculate that the moment Iran is attacked, not only will it retaliate, but all hell will break loose on Israeli borders. Iranís terrorist stooges, HIzballah will let loose from Lebanon, Hamas from the Gaza Strip and the Syrian air and missile forces go into action from the north. The Israeli Air Force will be vitally needed to protect the population and sufficient aircraft must therefore be kept back for the home front.
Given Tehranís multiple reprisal capability and the limits to which the Israeli Air Force can be stretched operationally at one time, the IDF may well decide to deal with the Hizballah and Hamas short-range rocket infrastructure as well as the Syrian Air Force before going into action against Iran. Debkafile
Iran has promised a strong retaliation in the event that Israel does attempt to stage a strike against their facilities.
Keep your eyes on how this development as it begins to unfold in the very near future.
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